![]() ![]() The other half of the vote is cast by just the 9 biggest-voting counties. Starting from the county that cast the least votes and working up, you would need to put together 79 of the 88 counties to get roughly half the statewide vote in Ohio. Those 44 Ohio counties that gave Trump landslide margins cast just about 15% of the statewide vote in 2020. However, it is worth remembering that half of a state’s counties does not mean half of a state’s votes. By 2020, 44 counties - fully half of the state’s total - had given Donald Trump greater than 70%. One of the main factors driving that change is a clear Republican shift in the state’s smaller counties - back in 2012, I noted to the audience, there were just 6 of Ohio’s 88 counties that gave Mitt Romney more than 70% of the vote. The Buckeye State has moved to the right, removing it from its long-held position as one of the nation’s key presidential bellwethers. ![]() The book I wrote several years ago about the state, The Bellwether, is clearly a work of history now, examining what was as opposed to what is. ![]() Competing halves in the MidwestĪ couple of weeks ago, I gave a presentation back home in Cleveland about the trajectory of Ohio’s presidential voting. The bottom hasn’t dropped out for Democrats in nearly the same way in Michigan and Wisconsin.
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